Poll Shows Orlando Area Republicans Divided Over Trump vs. DeSantis

Recent polling from Victory Insights shows strong support for Ron DeSantis in his effort to remove Disney’s special district. The poll, which surveyed registered Republicans in House District 35, also revealed that those Republican voters split over Donald Trump and DeSantis for the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary nomination.

According to Victory’s poll, 69% of voters said they support DeSantis’ decision to take on the company. About 25% oppose it. When asked about a wide field of candidates, almost 38% favored Trump and nearly 37% favored DeSantis, with the 1-percentage-point difference well within the poll’s margin of error. The rest of the field takes 15%, and about 10% are still undecided. When Trump and DeSantis were presented as the only two choices, DeSantis moves ahead, but the race is still within the margin of error. DeSantis sits near 45%, while Trump is above 43%.

According to data analyzed by Victory, Congressional District 35, which includes portions of Orange County and Osceola could be considered a microcosm of suburban America. Although there are voters across all ten steps of the socioeconomic ladder, the highest 57% of voters falling within this upper-middle class category. An additional 24% are in the 5 to 6 range, also in the middle class. Seniors make up a sizeable portion of the electorate, with 46% of voters aged 60 or older.

Another 38% are between the ages of 40 and 59, while only 15% are 39 or younger.

Victory’s poll also found a Republican electorate opposed to abortion. Almost 66% of voters call themselves pro-life, with 18% calling themselves “strictly pro-life” and 47% considering themselves pro-life but favoring some meaningful exceptions. About 35% of Republicans consider themselves pro-choice.

The poll was conducted June 7-9, 2023 among registered Republican voters throughout Florida’s 35th State House District, meaning that Trump’s indictment had yet to be officially announced.

Matt O'Hern
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