Trafalgar Group published results from its latest poll on North Carolina’s Senate race between Ted Budd (R) and Cheri Beasley (D). Their survey of 1,079 North Carolina voters showed Budd with a 3 percent lead over Beasley, with Budd earning 47 percent of the vote to Beasley’s 44 percent. The poll’s margin of error was 2.9 percent, giving Budd the smallest possible distance from a statistical dead heat. Libertarian Shannon Bray got 1.8 percent of the vote, which could make him a spoiler in November if Budd can’t pull away from Beasley.
Budd, a sitting Congressman. Beasley is an attorney who served as the chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court from 2019 to 2020. The Trafalgar poll results were published less than a week after a poll by the heavily-left-slanted Public Policy Polling released its latest poll results showing Beasley leading Budd by one percent, with 42 percent of the vote to Budd’s 41 percent, and a four percent margin of error.
With the Senate balance of power potentially dependent on the outcome of this race, we’re seeing yet another instance of North Carolina gaining national attention. At this rate, if Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Senate Marco Rubio win their respective races by more than five points, North Carolina may surpass Florida as the nation’s most crucial swing state for 2024.